{"id":38786,"date":"2012-05-31T13:09:12","date_gmt":"2012-05-31T11:09:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/?p=38786"},"modified":"2012-05-31T14:25:39","modified_gmt":"2012-05-31T12:25:39","slug":"sa-broadband-growth-predictions-2012-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/business\/38786-sa-broadband-growth-predictions-2012-edition","title":{"rendered":"SA broadband growth predictions: 2012 edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a title=\"Cisco\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/vb\/showthread.php\/227093-Cisco\">Cisco<\/a> has issued results of the annual Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast 2012, the company&#8217;s ongoing initiative to forecast and analyse Internet Protocol (IP) networking growth and trends worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>The VNI Forecast quantitatively projects consumer and business user generated IP traffic expected to travel over public and private networks.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the prominent results from Cisco&#8217;s forecasts include that SA&#8217;s Internet traffic will grow 10.5-fold from 2011 to 2016, mobile data traffic will grow 49-fold from 2011 to 2016, and the average broadband speed will grow 2.6-fold from 2011 to 2016 (from 2.0 Mbps to 5 Mbps).<\/p>\n<p>The Forecast projects the following growth areas for the South African market:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Internet Traffic <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Internet traffic will grow 10.5-fold from 2011 to 2016, a compound annual growth rate of 60%;<\/li>\n<li>Internet traffic will reach 425 petabytes per month in 2016, up from 40 petabytes per month in 2011;<\/li>\n<li>Internet traffic in 2016 will be equivalent to 1 billion DVDs per year, 106 million DVDs per month or 145,715 DVDs per hour.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Internet Video <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Internet video traffic will be 79% of all consumer Internet traffic in 2016, up from 56% in 2011;<\/li>\n<li>58 billion minutes of video content will cross the Internet each month in 2016, up from 4 billion in 2011;<\/li>\n<li>Video exceeded half of South Africa&#8217;s consumer Internet traffic by year-end 2011.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Mobile data traffic<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Mobile data traffic will grow 49-fold from 2011 to 2016, a compound annual growth rate of 118%;<\/li>\n<li>Mobile data traffic in 2016 will be equivalent to 17x the volume of the entire South African Internet in 2005.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Device Growth <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There will be 134 million networked devices in 2016, up from 83 million in 2011;<\/li>\n<li>There will be 2.6 networked devices per capita in 2016, up from 1.6 per capita in 2011.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Broadband Speed Evolution <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The average broadband speed will grow 2.6-fold from 2011 to 2016, from 2.0 Mbps to 5 Mbps.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Average Traffic per User and Household <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The average Internet user will generate 39.6 gigabytes of Internet traffic per month in 2016, up 754% from 4.6 gigabytes per month in 2011, a CAGR of 54%;<\/li>\n<li>The average Internet household will generate 128.4 gigabytes of Internet traffic per month in 2016, up 1,231% from 9.6 gigabytes per month in 2011, a CAGR of 68%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The significant level of traffic growth and service penetration is driven by a number of global factors, including:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">An increasing number of devices<\/span>: The proliferation of tablets, mobile phones and other smart devices as well as machine-to-machine (M2M) connections are driving up the demand for connectivity;<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">More Internet users<\/span>: By 2016 there will be 3.4 billion Internet users across the globe \u2013 about 45% of the world&#8217;s projected population according to United Nations estimates;<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Faster broadband speeds<\/span>: The average global fixed broadband speed is expected to increase nearly 4-fold from 9 Mbps in 2011 to 35 Mbps in 2016;<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">More video<\/span>: By 2016, 1.2 million video minutes \u2013 the equivalent of 833 days (or over two years) \u2013 will travel the Internet every second;<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Wi-Fi growth<\/span>: By 2016 over half of the world&#8217;s Internet traffic will come from Wi-Fi connections.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Related articles<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"SA gamers\u2019 most popular genres\" href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/features\/38744-sa-gamers-most-popular-genres.html\" target=\"_blank\">SA gamers\u2019 most popular genres<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"SA breaks 3Mbps broadband average\" href=\"http:\/\/mybroadband.co.za\/news\/broadband\/45269-sa-breaks-3mbps-broadband-average.html\"><strong>SA breaks 3Mbps broadband average<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a 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infrastructure<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Average SA broadband speed to hit 5Mbps by 2016 according to Cisco. More interesting predictions revealed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":153,"featured_media":37357,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[293,2674,4642,21,2378],"class_list":["post-38786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-adsl","tag-broadband-1","tag-cisco","tag-headline","tag-internet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38786","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/153"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38786"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38786\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38787,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38786\/revisions\/38787"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}