{"id":42465,"date":"2012-08-07T10:08:42","date_gmt":"2012-08-07T08:08:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/?p=42465"},"modified":"2012-08-07T15:34:28","modified_gmt":"2012-08-07T13:34:28","slug":"michael-pachter-visionary-or-buffoon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/features\/42465-michael-pachter-visionary-or-buffoon","title":{"rendered":"Michael Pachter: visionary or buffoon?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Michael Pachter &#8211; while some may not know the name, this analyst has become synonymous with the gaming world for making outlandish statements regarding his predictions of the video game industry.<\/p>\n<p>Video game guestimations aren&#8217;t Pachter&#8217;s only pastime, as he&#8217;s a social, and digital media, and electronics analyst at Wedbush Securities.<\/p>\n<p>While Pachter does get a lot of criticism for being overly confident with his predictions, the truth is: sometimes he&#8217;s right.<\/p>\n<p>So let&#8217;s run down some of the most significant predictions Pachter has made lately, and whether his crystal ball was right or wrong.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">EA bid for Take Two<\/h3>\n<p>In 2008, Pachter predicted that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.co.za\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=3&amp;ved=0CGsQFjAC&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.edge-online.com%2Fnews%2Fanalyst-convinced-ea-will-buy-take-two&amp;ei=tNMfUI35NsiYhQeJrIHACg&amp;usg=AFQjCNGg3XJaNVqTQdMgBH2qsYmvp6haFw&amp;sig2=IjKuZVfu9ftR78M3uXPZVg\" target=\"_blank\">Electronic Arts would buy Take Two<\/a>, regardless of what Take Two thought, and he was pretty certain.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Incorrect &#8211; EA did bid for Take Two although were unable to buy the GTA publisher.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/eat2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-42477 aligncenter\" title=\"EA Take 2\" src=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/eat2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"401\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/eat2.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/eat2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/eat2-250x167.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Call of Duty Elite<\/h3>\n<p>In 2010, Pachter suggested that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.co.za\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=1&amp;ved=0CGkQFjAA&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.gameinformer.com%2Fb%2Fnews%2Farchive%2F2011%2F02%2F11%2Fpachter-says-activsion-wants-to-charge-for-call-of-duty-multiplayer.aspx&amp;ei=ntMfUNL3HM60hAfB7YDgDg&amp;usg=AFQjCNE3-5Fsp6sn29hxG2CODkf8-GRwQA&amp;sig2=MDRLeg2kts-9p_bF3Jza7Q\" target=\"_blank\">Activision will inevitably find a way to charge subscriptions for Call of Duty<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Correct &#8211; Activision announced Call of Duty Elite in late 2011.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Grand Theft Auto 5:<\/h3>\n<p>In March 2009, Pachter predicted that the <a href=\"http:\/\/ps3.ign.com\/articles\/100\/1003501p1.html\" target=\"_blank\">next Grand Theft Auto game will come out in 2010<\/a> and will outsell GTA IV.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction: incorrect<\/strong>: In late November, 2011, Rockstar announced GTA V is in full development, with a release expected sometime in 2013.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/GTA-V.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-38803 aligncenter\" title=\"GTA V\" src=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/GTA-V.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"374\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/GTA-V.jpg 600w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/GTA-V-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/GTA-V-250x155.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Red Dead Failure<\/h3>\n<p>In 2010, Pachter predicted that Rockstar\u2019s open-world western sequel Red Dead Redemption was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.industrygamers.com\/news\/pachters-podium-red-dead-redemption-not-blockbuster-material-dsi-xl-facing-obsolescene\/\" target=\"_blank\">not a \u201cblockbuster franchise\u201d<\/a>, and wouldn\u2019t appeal to a large audience.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Incorrect \u2013 Red Dead Redemption was critically acclaimed and went on to sell near 5 million copies globally.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">PSP Go \u201cdead on arrival\u201d<\/h3>\n<p>In 2010, Michael Pachter claimed that the next PSP iteration (before being unveiled as the PSP Go) would be <a href=\"http:\/\/www.destructoid.com\/pachter-psp-was-dead-on-arrival-psp2-will-fail-189051.phtml\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cdead on arrival\u201d<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction:<\/strong> Correct \u2013 The PSP Go launched to a dismal response from fans. Sony even came out and admitted their failure with the PSP Go.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Definitely we didn&#8217;t do something right with [it]. So there are lots of things like the hardware didn&#8217;t have the compatibility with the UMD library and not all the PSP games were sold on the PSN store.&#8221; \u2013 Sony\u2019s Shuhei Yoshida<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/psp-go-games.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-42520 aligncenter\" title=\"psp-go-games\" src=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/psp-go-games.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"416\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/psp-go-games.jpg 650w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/psp-go-games-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/psp-go-games-250x173.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pachter\u2019s most recent prediction is that the upcoming Wii U console will be a failure for Nintendo. Time will tell if Pachter has another hit or miss when it launches later this year.<\/p>\n<p>My prediction is that Xbox 720 will launch next year, will play discs made of bacon, and will be bundled with Half Life 3.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"my-4\">Related Articles<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/news\/38598-on-disc-dlc-is-just-plain-greed-analyst.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>On-disc DLC is \u201cjust plain greed\u201d \u2013 analyst<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/news\/36013-analysts-say-sony-needs-to-slash-ps3-prices.html\">Analysts say Sony needs to slash PS3 prices<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/columns\/38175-is-online-piracy-really-theft.html\">Is online piracy really \u201ctheft\u201d?<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/news\/34468-minecraft-dev-calls-out-evil-companies-for-using-drm.html\">Minecraft dev calls out \u201cevil companies\u201d for using DRM<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/features\/42432-games-you-can-play-this-week-15.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Games you can play this week<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is Michael Pachter the Nostradamus of video games?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":196,"featured_media":42490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sma_x_autopost_status":"idle","_sma_x_autopost_error":"","_sma_x_post_id":"","_sma_x_attempts":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[6119,6116,21,1857,6115,6118,6117],"class_list":["post-42465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-features","tag-game-analyst","tag-gaming-predictions","tag-headline","tag-michael-pachter","tag-pachter","tag-pachter-analyst","tag-pachter-predictions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42465","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/196"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42465"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42465\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42545,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42465\/revisions\/42545"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/42490"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42465"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42465"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mygaming.co.za\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42465"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}